reproduction number – Public Health Expert, University of Otago, New Zealand

Dr Jaijus Pallippadan-Johny¹, Dr John McDermott², Rodney Jones¹ and Michael Duddin¹(¹ Wigram Capital Advisors, Auckland; ²Motu Economic and Policy Research, Wellington)

In this blog, we introduce our modelling approach to estimating the transmissibility of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the cause of the COVID-19 pandemic. We demonstrate the usefulness of the Wallinga model for the calculation of the effective reproduction number and show the major impact of the lockdown on containing the pandemic in New Zealand.

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Monitoring and Forecasting the COVID-19 Pandemic in New Zealand Including the Successful Impact of the Lockdown

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