Sustained Resilience: the impact of nuclear war on New Zealand and how to mitigate catastrophe

Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 | carra86p | 2 Comments

Dr Matt Boyd & Prof Nick Wilson* (Syndicated from the Adapt Research Blog)

Efforts to prevent nuclear war should be greatly intensified – but we must also consider what happens if prevention fails. NZ is often cited as somewhere most likely to preserve a thriving society through a nuclear aftermath. However, our society is a complex adaptive system heavily dependent on trade. Major perturbations triggered by nuclear war could shift the state of NZ society from one of flourishing to one of mere survival. We detail these risks of societal failure and conclude with a set of first steps NZ could take to strengthen its societal systems.

Continue reading

Putin and the Bomb: Why New Zealand national risk assessments should include planning for the potential impacts of nuclear winter

Monday, March 14th, 2022 | carra86p | 1 Comment

Dr Matt Boyd & Prof Nick Wilson* (Syndicated from the Adapt Research Blog)

In this blog we briefly review the literature on the probability of nuclear war and what various models estimate to be the potential global climate impacts (eg, of nuclear winter). Although New Zealand is relatively well placed as a major food producer – a range of mitigation strategies could increase the probability of sustaining food security during a recovery period. To get the ball rolling the Government needs to perform a national risk assessment on this topic and commission work on identifying the most cost-effective preparations.

Continue reading