{"id":807,"date":"2025-04-03T11:09:26","date_gmt":"2025-04-02T22:09:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/?p=807"},"modified":"2025-04-03T11:10:48","modified_gmt":"2025-04-02T22:10:48","slug":"flooding-from-below-the-unseen-risks-of-sea-level-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/flooding-from-below-the-unseen-risks-of-sea-level-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"Flooding from Below: The Unseen Risks of Sea Level Rise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Researchers demonstrate a method for assessing how rising seas could raise groundwater levels, potentially transmitting flood hazards far inland.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-808 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/files\/2025\/04\/Capture-3-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/files\/2025\/04\/Capture-3-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/files\/2025\/04\/Capture-3-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/files\/2025\/04\/Capture-3-768x511.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/files\/2025\/04\/Capture-3-451x300.jpg 451w, https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/files\/2025\/04\/Capture-3.jpg 856w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Source:\u00a0<em>Earth\u2019s Future , EOS<\/em><\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/eos.org\/research-spotlights\/flooding-from-below-the-unseen-risks-of-sea-level-rise\">Link to the full article:\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>As climate change continues to drive global sea level rise, many people living in coastal areas are already seeing the effects.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/eos.org\/articles\/weighing-inputs-of-waves-and-precipitation-to-coastal-erosion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Coastal erosion<\/a>\u00a0is accelerating and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/eos.org\/articles\/coastlines-around-the-world-are-losing-sediment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">shifting coastlines inland<\/a>, and storm surges are getting worse. But lurking beneath the surface is another major consequence that is thus far poorly understood: rising groundwater.<\/p>\n<p>Evidence suggests that in some low-lying coastal regions with shallow groundwater, rising sea levels will drive a simultaneous rise in groundwater levels, with potentially serious risks for homes, businesses, and other infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>In a new paper focused on the coastal city of Dunedin, New Zealand,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2024EF004977\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Cox et al.<\/em><\/a>\u00a0demonstrate a method for predicting how sea level rise might change groundwater levels and thereby increase inland flooding hazards. South Dunedin already experiences periodic flooding that will become even more challenging with sea level rise; the researchers describe the city as a poster child for New Zealand communities responding and adapting to climate change and rising seas.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The researchers used 2019\u20132023 data from a network of 35 groundwater sensors installed across Dunedin\u2019s low-lying coastal land, where much of the city\u2019s infrastructure is located. They compared the sensor data with data on tides, rainfall, and other factors to forecast rising sea level\u2019s future influence on groundwater.<\/p>\n<p>The findings suggest that sea level rise will first drive a rise in groundwater level that will reduce the land\u2019s ability to absorb rainfall. With further sea level rise, groundwater may rise even more and begin causing problems while still belowground, such as overwhelming wastewater systems, infiltrating basements, and destabilizing building foundations. Eventually, the groundwater may rise high enough to emerge as springs and cause flooding.<\/p>\n<p>The researchers conclude that flood hazards resulting from rising groundwater can extend much farther inland than many people expect. In addition, assuming that the protective topography of Dunedin\u2019s sand dune barrier does not undergo significant change, these groundwater effects will occur sooner than any direct flooding from the rising sea.<\/p>\n<p>The researchers note that their approach contains key assumptions and uncertainties\u2014for instance, that groundwater and sea level will rise at the same rate and the water table will maintain approximately the same shape, but that the conservative predictions are valuable for planning and managing hazards in Dunedin. Because the method is relatively simple and inexpensive, it could also be applied in similar coastal regions around the world, they say. (<em>Earth\u2019s Future<\/em>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2024EF004977\">htt<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2024EF004977\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ps:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2024EF004977<\/a>, 2025)<\/p>\n<p>\u2014Sarah Stanley, Science Writer<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Researchers demonstrate a method for assessing how rising seas could raise groundwater levels, potentially transmitting flood hazards far inland. Source:\u00a0Earth\u2019s Future , EOS Link to the full article:\u00a0 As climate change continues to drive global sea level rise, many people [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42619,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/42619"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/807\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.otago.ac.nz\/strandproject\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}